Japan's economy is barely growing

Japan has become a firm favourite with tourists, but its broader economy is languishing.

By AAP & CBA Newsroom

16 February 2026

A woman walks down a street in Tokyo. Picture: AAP

Key points

  • After a mid-year contraction, Japan avoided a technical recessio
  • New PM Sanae Takaichi is flagging stimulus and a suspension of sales tax on food

Japan's economy expanded at an anaemic 0.2% annual pace in the last quarter, the government reported Monday, with growth for all of 2025 at just 1.1%.

Private consumption rose at a 0.4% annualised pace in October-December, but that was offset by a 1.1% drop in exports, the latest seasonally adjusted preliminary data shows.

Japan's export-reliant economy has recently been shaken by US tariffs, but has been growing at a lacklustre pace for years. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is expected to roll out policies to help revive the economy after a landslide victory in a general election earlier this month.

Takaichi has promised to spend more and to suspend Japan's sales tax on food, among other measures.

Avoiding a recession

Japan's GDP contracted 0.7% in July-September, quarter-to-quarter, after growing 0.5% in April-June. Since the economy returned to growth in the latest quarter, the country narrowly avoided a technical recession, which is two straight quarters of contraction.

On a quarterly basis, the economy grew 0.1% in October to December, the Cabinet Office reported.

The 1.1% expansion last year was the fastest since 2022, when Japan was recovering from the disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

The government is projecting that the economy will expand at an average rate of about 0.6% in the near term.

The Associated Press

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