Can overseas events impact your investments?

Even if you’re just getting started with investing, understanding how international news affects local markets can help you make smarter, more confident decisions.

By Brooke Le Poer Trench

  • Australia’s share market is deeply connected to what’s happening overseas so global events can impact the value of your portfolio.
  • Key indicators to watch include US interest rate moves, inflation and GDP data. China’s economy is also critical.
  • Understanding how global stories influence markets can help you spot investment opportunities.

Global economies are a little like housemates—what one does tends to impact everyone else. Australia may be geographically isolated but our share market is deeply connected to what’s happening overseas. Many ASX-listed companies operate internationally or rely on global supply chains. That means when the US raises interest rates or China signals a slowdown, local stocks are likely to react.

“It partly comes down to interconnectedness and size,” says CommSec market analyst Steven Daghlian. “The Australian share market is tiny compared with the likes of the US or China and news travels fast. Global events, especially from economic superpowers, can impact our investor sentiment, supply chains, commodity prices and even our currency.” It’s not just deliberate moves, either. Events like wars or pandemics tend to hit with little warning and when they do, markets around the world—including ours—feel it.

“As a general rule, the bigger the economy, the more attention it deserves. That’s especially true for the US and China.” - Steven Daghlian, CommSec market analyst

The effects of real-world events

Even seemingly faraway events can impact the value of your portfolio. Let’s rewind to a few big examples. When Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, global oil prices surged, pushing up costs for everything from air travel to household power bills. COVID-19 was another stark reminder of overseas impacts—shuttered factories in Asia meant shortages everywhere from industrial equipment to retail shelves.

More recently, Aussie stocks tumbled after the US announced sweeping new tariffs in early 2025. “The US-China trade war caused big swings in local sectors,” says Daghlian. “Gold prices hit record highs, lifting gold producers here. But some manufacturers, like appliance makers and medical suppliers with ties to tariff-affected countries, saw their share prices fall. On the flipside, companies with US-based operations like BlueScope steel were lifted by the same news.”

How to stay informed

The CommSec team knows not everyone has time to follow every market move. That’s why they’ve created resources that cut through the noise. “We’ve got free insights on YouTube, Instagram and TikTok,” says Daghlian. “If you’re just starting out, start with the first two seasons of our CommSec Invest podcast—it’s a great intro to how the market works. For regular updates, the twice-daily CommSec Market Update podcast covers global news and how it’s affecting Aussie stocks.”

What trends keep an eye on

You don’t need to follow every newsflash to be a savvy investor but knowing which trends matter can help you tune in when it counts. “As a general rule, the bigger the economy or market, the more attention it deserves,” says Daghlian. “That’s especially true for the US and China, which is Australia’s biggest trading partner.”

Key indicators to watch include US interest rate moves (which affect borrowing costs and sentiment), inflation and GDP data (signs of growth or contraction) and employment figures (strong jobs data fuels optimism). China’s economy is also critical—it buys a third of our exports and most of our iron ore. So when China’s property market wobbles or US inflation surges, those headlines are worth noting here.

Dollar-cost averaging

One practical investment approach Daghlian often recommends is dollar-cost averaging—investing a set amount regularly, regardless of market ups and downs. “Having a plan makes all the difference,” he says. “It’s easy to feel confident when markets are up but a long-term mindset helps you stay on course when they’re not. Choose stocks or ETFs you understand and grow your confidence from there.”

Turning global news into investing clues

Once you understand how global stories influence markets, you can start spotting opportunities, not just the risks. Rising demand for lithium? That might point to strength in renewables or electric vehicles. Booming US tech stocks? Aussie tech firms could be next.

“The trick is to tune out the short-term noise and look for longer-term themes,” says Daghlian. “Volatile periods often open up buying opportunities, especially for investors with a plan and a clear set of goals.” Overseas events can shake up your investments, but they can also open your eyes to new trends, sectors and ideas.

5 small steps to learn to invest 

Investing can be an intimidating topic for many people, but it is a key part of building financial fitness. Learn how to boost your investing know-how with our Financial Fitness program.  

Related articles

 

Published: 31 October 2025

Things you should know

Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly owned but non-guaranteed subsidiary of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945. CommSec is a Market Participant of ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited, a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited. CommSec Invest is created and distributed by Commonwealth Securities Limited. Content is general in nature. Investing carries risk.

An earlier version of this article was published in Brighter magazine.

This article provides general information of an educational nature only. It does not have regard to the financial situation or needs of any reader and must not be relied upon as personal financial product advice. The views expressed by contributors are their own and don’t necessarily reflect the views of CBA. As the information has been provided without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs, you should, before acting on this information, consider what is appropriate for your circumstances, and where appropriate, consider the relevant Target Market Determination, Product Disclosure Statement and Terms and Conditions available on our website. You should also consider whether seeking independent professional legal, tax and financial advice is necessary. Every effort has been taken to ensure the information was correct as at the time of publishing but it may be subject to change. No part of the editorial contents may be reproduced or copied in any form without the prior permission and acknowledgement of CBA.